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Prediction of Yuliia Starodubtseva [99th] vs Karolina Muchova [12th] Head-to-Head At The 2025 Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (04-24-25)

By Wojtek Kolan - April 24, 2025

Starodubtseva is scheduled to play Muchova on Thursday at 03:00 PM CET, in the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, Second round.

Starodubtseva vs. Muchova Forecast

Derived from the implied probability from the match winner, Muchova has a 79.79% chance to get the victory.

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To Win

Match BOOKIE
PREDICTION
BOOKIE
ODDS
Karolina Muchova 79.79% -434
Yuliia Starodubtseva 20.21% +386

Games

MARKET BOOKIE
PROBABILITY
Bookie
ODDS
Over 21 Games 84.73% -555
Over 20 Games 84.73% -555

Head-2-Head: Starodubtseva 0 - 0 Muchova

Starodubtseva vs Muchova H2H Profile
Starodubtseva Stats Muchova
33% (6-12) YTD Win/Loss 63% (12-7)
0 Head-to-Head 0
99 Ranking 12
79 Highest Rank 8
25 Age 28
- Plays R
4 Titles 3
61% (119-77) Career Total W/L 67% (312-152)
$637,422 Career Prize Money $7,867,622

Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)

Starodubtseva VS Muchova H2H Matches played

No H2H Matches Available

Current Event Stats

ESP

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

Clay
Starodubtseva vs Muchova Current Event Stats
Yuliia Starodubtseva Starodubtseva Stats Karolina Muchova Muchova
3 Total Matches 1st Match
1:25:52 Last Match 1st Match
6:47:19 Total Time 1st Match
0.03 Aces Per Game 1st Match
1 Aces Total 1st Match
0.17 Double Faults Per Game 1st Match
6 Total Double Faults 1st Match
69% (178/258) 1st Serve % 1st Match
55% (98/178) 1st Serve Win % 1st Match
56% (45/80) 2nd Serve Win % 1st Match
41% (17/41) Total Break Points Won % 1st Match
60% (18/30) Total Break Points Saved 1st Match
67% (24/36) Service Hold (%) 1st Match
53% (19/36) Opponent Hold % 1st Match
47% (118/251) Return Points Win % 1st Match
51% (261/509) Total Points Won 1st Match
100% (1/1) Tiebreak Win % 1st Match
100% (2/2) Deciding Set Win % 1st Match
0.33 Tiebreaks Per Match 1st Match
100% (2/2) 1st Set Won, Won Match 1st Match
100% (1/1) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 1st Match

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Karolina Muchova Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Starodubtseva 0 - 0 Muchova

Editorial Prediction:

How significant is the second serve when you’re predicting the outcome of a tennis match? For Starodubtseva, she has secured 44.91% of points on her second serve recently, while Muchova edges slightly ahead with 45.6%. Could this be a decisive factor? It just might be, as second-serve performance is often a reliable predictor. Meanwhile, considering each player's return game efficiency, Starodubtseva has been catching attention by clinching 49.81% of points on her rivals' second serves, compared to Muchova's 48.85%. When it comes to first serve returns, Starodubtseva again takes the lead with 36.04%, vastly outrunning Muchova's 28.59%. This might just tip the scales in favor of one player.

When we explore how these athletes handle pressure, the numbers reflect an intriguing narrative. Starodubtseva has successfully saved 49.48% of breakpoints, yet it’s Muchova who shows a stronger resolve by saving 53.98%. This could prove pivotal when stakes run high in the match. Over the previous year, Muchova has demonstrated a remarkable track record, winning 70.21% of her matches, whereas Starodubtseva holds a winning percentage of 54.55%. It seems a promising indication in the head-to-head scenario.

Do surface preferences play a crucial role here? Interestingly, Starodubtseva excels on Grass, with 71% wins, but struggles on Clay with a 57% win rate. Muchova, contrastingly, is formidable on Hard courts with a 70% win rate, yet shows vulnerability on Grass, achieving only 59%. As these players battle through the Masters series and Main tours, both demonstrate a matching 68.42% success rate in their respective spheres, questioning the impact of tour quality on their current standing.

Opponent quality further enhances the comparison: Starodubtseva often competes against opponents ranked at an average of 170.17, while Muchova challenges players averaging a rank of 61.45. If they find themselves neck-and-neck in a deciding set, Starodubtseva seems to have the upper hand, winning 52% of such sets recently, as opposed to Muchova's 42%. A critical aspect indeed for those placing their bets during live matches.

Lastly, we turn our focus to the recent form in breaking serve: Starodubtseva displays efficacy by converting 43.18% of breakpoints, whereas Muchova trails behind with a conversion rate at 25.69%. With all these figures laid bare, the stats seem to whisper the tale of Starodubtseva having a likely edge in this duel. Will numbers translate to on-court triumph? Only the unfolding match can reveal the answer.

Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Karolina Muchova Best Odds For The Match

To Win
Muchova
-434
Starodubtseva
+386
Games
> 21
-555
> 20
-555

Yuliia Starodubtseva Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Player
Linda Fruhvirtova
72% ( 36 of 50)
1st Serve %
56% ( 33 of 59)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
8
56% ( 20 of 36)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 16 of 33)
50% ( 7 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 7 of 26)
58% ( 7 of 12)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
46% ( 23 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 36 of 59)
63
Total Points Won
46
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Player
Elsa Jacquemot
72% ( 91 of 127)
1st Serve %
63% ( 75 of 119)
1
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
9
52% ( 47 of 91)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 47 of 75)
61% ( 22 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 23 of 44)
29% ( 5 of 17)
Break Points Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
46% ( 58 of 127)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 49 of 119)
118
Total Points Won
128
W
7-6(5) 2-6 7-5 H2H
Q1
cross
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Player
Chloe Paquet
63% ( 51 of 81)
1st Serve %
71% ( 52 of 73)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
7
61% ( 31 of 51)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 30 of 52)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 10 of 21)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
42% ( 34 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 33 of 73)
80
Total Points Won
74
W
2-6 6-3 6-0 H2H
Q1
cross
Jana Fett
Player
Yuliia Starodubtseva
53% ( 36 of 68)
1st Serve %
56% ( 35 of 63)
2
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
6
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 22 of 35)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
35% ( 24 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 27 of 63)
71
Total Points Won
60
L
7-6(4) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Caroline Werner
Player
Yuliia Starodubtseva
64% ( 29 of 45)
1st Serve %
54% ( 25 of 46)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
4
55% ( 16 of 29)
1st Serve Won
40% ( 10 of 25)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
47% ( 21 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 27 of 46)
51
Total Points Won
40
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Susan Bandecchi
Player
Yuliia Starodubtseva
67% ( 55 of 82)
1st Serve %
69% ( 53 of 77)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
56% ( 31 of 55)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 27 of 53)
52% ( 14 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 6 of 12)
45% ( 37 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 41 of 77)
86
Total Points Won
73
L
6-2 3-6 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Naomi Osaka
Player
Yuliia Starodubtseva
53% ( 51 of 97)
1st Serve %
70% ( 62 of 88)
10
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
75% ( 38 of 51)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 38 of 62)
46% ( 21 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
39% ( 38 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 37 of 88)
96
Total Points Won
89
L
3-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Player
Tatjana Maria
76% ( 44 of 58)
1st Serve %
65% ( 40 of 62)
1
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
77% ( 34 of 44)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 24 of 40)
29% ( 4 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 10 of 22)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
34% ( 20 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 28 of 62)
66
Total Points Won
54
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Player
Varvara Lepchenko
50% ( 42 of 84)
1st Serve %
71% ( 61 of 86)
0
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 28 of 61)
55% ( 23 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 15 of 25)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
40% ( 34 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 43 of 86)
93
Total Points Won
77
W
5-7 6-1 6-1 H2H
Q1
cross
Claire Liu
Player
Yuliia Starodubtseva
53% ( 46 of 86)
1st Serve %
55% ( 41 of 74)
2
Aces
1
9
Double Faults
5
57% ( 26 of 46)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 28 of 41)
58% ( 23 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 10 of 33)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
56% ( 5 of 9)
43% ( 37 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 74)
85
Total Points Won
75
L
7-5 7-6(2) H2H

Karolina Muchova Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R3
cross
Elina Svitolina
Player
Karolina Muchova
64% ( 52 of 81)
1st Serve %
53% ( 46 of 86)
6
Aces
8
1
Double Faults
2
67% ( 35 of 52)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 19 of 40)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
37% ( 30 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 36 of 86)
87
Total Points Won
80
L
6-2 3-6 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Victoria Azarenka
67% ( 16 of 24)
1st Serve %
36% ( 8 of 22)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
69% ( 11 of 16)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
63% ( 5 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
33% ( 8 of 24)
Rtn Points Won
68% ( 15 of 22)
31
Total Points Won
15
W
6-0 ret. H2H
R4
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Karolina Muchova
65% ( 24 of 37)
1st Serve %
54% ( 21 of 39)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
88% ( 21 of 24)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 9 of 37)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 22 of 39)
50
Total Points Won
26
L
6-1 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Katerina Siniakova
52% ( 34 of 65)
1st Serve %
60% ( 36 of 60)
4
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
68% ( 23 of 34)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 19 of 36)
48% ( 15 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 7 of 24)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
42% ( 27 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 34 of 60)
72
Total Points Won
53
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
62% ( 40 of 65)
1st Serve %
64% ( 34 of 53)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
65% ( 26 of 40)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 17 of 34)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
40% ( 26 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
64
Total Points Won
54
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Clara Tauson
Player
Karolina Muchova
59% ( 65 of 111)
1st Serve %
58% ( 61 of 105)
9
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
1
74% ( 48 of 65)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 39 of 61)
48% ( 22 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 24 of 44)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
37% ( 41 of 111)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 42 of 105)
112
Total Points Won
104
L
6-4 6-7(4) 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Sorana Cirstea
57% ( 30 of 53)
1st Serve %
63% ( 40 of 64)
2
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
70% ( 21 of 30)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 17 of 40)
52% ( 12 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
38% ( 20 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 36 of 64)
69
Total Points Won
48
W
6-2 7-5 H2H
R3
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Mccartney Kessler
51% ( 47 of 92)
1st Serve %
70% ( 73 of 105)
8
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
72% ( 34 of 47)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 45 of 73)
44% ( 20 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 19 of 32)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
41% ( 38 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 41 of 105)
95
Total Points Won
102
W
6-3 1-6 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Emma Raducanu
57% ( 35 of 61)
1st Serve %
63% ( 46 of 73)
3
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
3
69% ( 24 of 35)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 30 of 46)
46% ( 12 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 12 of 27)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
41% ( 25 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 31 of 73)
67
Total Points Won
67
W
7-6(6) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Karolina Muchova
Player
Suzan Lamens
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve %
67% ( 34 of 51)
9
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
4
76% ( 22 of 29)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
29% ( 14 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 24 of 51)
59
Total Points Won
41
W
6-2 6-2 H2H

Where To Watch Starodubtseva vs Muchova?

When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Starodubtseva Vs Muchova is now available here.

Starodubtseva Vs Muchova Prediction H2H Video

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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Starodubtseva & Muchova Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Yuliia Starodubtseva Starodubtseva Stats Karolina Muchova Muchova
57% (49/37) Win/Loss 66% (114/58)
55% (106/87) Sets Win/Loss 64% (257/146)
53% (912/813) Games Win/Loss 55% (2059/1661)
0.05 Aces Per Game 0.1
39 Aces Total 191
0.15 Double Faults Per Game 0.11
128 Total Double Faults 200
1:11:41 Average Match Time 1:4:58
381.59 Average Opponent Rank 424.84
64% (2453/3825) 1st Serve % 67% (5036/7493)
57% (1407/2453) 1st Serve Win % 60% (3042/5036)
46% (636/1372) 2nd Serve Win % 50% (1226/2457)
50% (259/513) Break Points Won % (Total) 50% (490/971)
47% (1809/3822) Return Points Win % 47% (3567/7619)
56% (48/85) Best of 3 Sets Win % 67% (112/166)
0% (0/0) Best of 5 Sets Win % 0% (0/3)
45% (5/11) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 55% (22/40)
59% (13/22) Deciding Set Win % 53% (31/59)
91% (46/42) 1st Set Won, Won Match 87% (103/90)
9% (46/4) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 13% (103/13)
18% (40/7) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 35% (69/24)

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Yuliia Starodubtseva

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

Frech vs Starodubtseva H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Maneiro vs Starodubtseva H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Bouzkova vs Starodubtseva H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Andreeva vs Starodubtseva H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Dolehide vs Starodubtseva H2H, could play in The Third round

Samsonova vs Starodubtseva H2H, could play in The Third round

View full predicted draw for Starodubtseva in Madrid

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Karolina Muchova

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

Frech vs Muchova H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Maneiro vs Muchova H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Bouzkova vs Muchova H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Andreeva vs Muchova H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Dolehide vs Muchova H2H, could play in The Third round

Samsonova vs Muchova H2H, could play in The Third round

View full predicted draw for Muchova in Madrid

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